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PriorForge

Every game starts at 5.5 (ages 15–18): adjust the block of dummy votes, add real ratings, and watch a Bayesian average pull a small crowd toward the prior — the exact shrinkage formula behind a board-game leaderboard. Only volume overcomes the prior. Deterministic, on-device.

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Built for sittings of about 25 minutes on the screen. That is our design budget, not a measurement.

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Live CCSS Math — Statistics & Probability (S-IC, S-MD) Bayesian reasoning / weighted averages Hero color: #5b6cc4
Engagement: Modes pending

Characters who teach

Meet the cast

PriorForge's cast (ages 15–18, realistic statistician personas — no mascots) each embody one idea behind the Prior Rule; mentor Sol asks what a rating with only three votes really tells you.

P

Priya

the prior — every game starts at 5.5 before any real vote

B

Bayard

the shrinkage average — blends the prior with the evidence (the Bayesian mean)

V

Vera

the volume rule — it is VOLUME, not a loud few, that overcomes the prior

D

Dunna

the dummy-count — counts the prior block and how many real votes it takes to move it

S

Sol

asks what a three-vote rating really tells you

What's distributed-narrative methodology? →

What's inside

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Learning goal

Every game starts at 5.5 (ages 15–18): adjust the block of dummy votes, add real ratings, and watch a Bayesian average pull a small crowd toward the prior — the exact shrinkage formula behind a board-game leaderboard. Only volume overcomes the prior. Deterministic, on-device.

Mentored by Sol — no data leaves the device.

How PriorForge handles your kid's data

  • ✅ All progress, settings, and AI-generated content stays on the device
  • ✅ No analytics, no tracking, no third-party SDKs
  • ✅ Free — no ads, no in-app purchases
  • ✅ No personal information collected from children — in line with COPPA (updated by the 2026 FTC amendments)
  • ✅ No chat with strangers — play-together rooms use a short code and preset emotes, never typed messages

Full parent privacy guide →

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