Ages 15–18 · Grades 9–12 · Probability & Statistics

OddsForge

Six heads in a row — luck, or a loaded coin? A p-value answers one precise question: if the honest odds really held, how often would you see a run this extreme by chance? Predict how surprising each case is, then read the answer off the binomial tail — and watch how peeking until it “looks significant” manufactures a false alarm. Evidence, never a verdict.

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