Lanternby and Maybelle
unknown results and search budget belong together - a 'not sure yet' is a maybe caused by the search running out, and a bigger search of the same deals turns maybes into proven results
Loading audio…
Press play to listen along. The line being read lights up as you go.
Show full transcript
Loading transcript…
Down the ladder, underneath the Card Lab, the tunnels stay cool and dark. That's where Lanternby the mole lives, with his miner's cap and his warm brass lantern. And whenever there is a question about the maybe pile, Maybelle the fox comes padding down the ladder to find him, bushy tail sweeping the earth.
The other animals call them the Search Party.
One morning Maybelle arrived carrying her little wooden tray, the maybe pile, and it was fuller than it had ever been. A group of young squirrels followed close behind her, looking glum.
"We tested a rule where any card can go into an empty column," one of the squirrels said. "And we got lots of not sure yets. Our teacher says we should just count them as losses so we can finish our poster."
Maybelle tilted her head, one ear raised. "Hmmm," she said. "That's the one thing we mustn't do."
She set the tray down in the circle of Lanternby's light. "A not sure yet isn't a loss," she told the squirrels. "It's a maybe. It means the solver was still searching when its time ran out. Counting it as a loss would be saying we know something we don't."
"But then how do we ever finish?" asked a squirrel. "We can't leave them as maybes forever."
Lanternby held up his lantern. The light swung warmly across the tunnel walls. "That's where I come in," he said. "Maybelle keeps the maybes safe. I go looking for their answers."
He explained, while the squirrels leaned in close. The solver searches through possible moves, but it has a limit, a search budget, like a lantern that only lights so far down the tunnel. "Your rule allows more moves," Lanternby said, "so there are more tunnels to explore. A small lantern runs out of light before it reaches the end of many of them. That's why you got so many maybes."
"So a bigger lantern..." began a squirrel.
"...reaches further," said Lanternby, turning up the flame. "Same deals. Exactly the same. Just a brighter light."
They asked the solver to search again, five times as far, on only the deals in Maybelle's tray. The squirrels held their breath.
One by one, answers came back. Won. Won. Lost. Won. Won. Some maybes turned out to be wins, hiding just past where the small lantern had stopped. A few turned out to be real losses, now proven. And a handful stayed not sure yet, even under the bright light.
Maybelle sorted the new answers happily. "Look," she said. "Most of the maybes were wins all along. If we had counted them as losses, we'd have told everyone your rule was bad. It's actually good."
"And the ones still unsure?" asked a squirrel.
"They stay in my tray," said Maybelle, "and we say so honestly. Some deals need an even brighter light. That's allowed."
Lanternby added one more thing, softly. "When you write your poster, say how big your lantern was. A result only makes sense next to how hard you looked."
The squirrels went back up the ladder with a very different poster in mind.
The Search Party feels most like themselves when a maybe turns into an answer under the brighter light. It is a glowing, hopeful, treasure-hunt feeling, like digging where you just knew something was buried and feeling your paw touch the edge of the box.
You have a bit of the Search Party in you whenever you refuse to call something a no before you've really looked. Say it the way they do: "Maybelle keeps the maybes, Lanternby brings the light: look longer before you say no."
Then turn up your lantern, and look again.
The Solitaire Lab ensemble
Lanternby and Maybelle is part of Solitaire Lab's distributed-narrative cast. Each character embodies a different curricular primitive; together they teach the full subject.
-
Dealia
(Mentor, a card-dealing raccoon) - asks what you predicted BEFORE you look at the data
-
Twinnie
Deals every hand twice - the same deals for both rules, so the test is fair
-
Hedgeworth
Never says more than the data can - reports at least ... and at most ...
-
Maybelle
Knows an unknown is a maybe, not a no - the search ran out of time
-
Bigsby
Knows more deals make the answer sharper - the interval gets narrower
-
Lopsy
Counts the deals where only ONE rule won - those odd pairs are the whole story
-
Lanternby
Knows the measuring tool is part of the result - a bigger search proves more wins of the SAME deals
-
Glassby
Knows FreeCell hides nothing, so a 'lost' there is a proof about the deal itself
-
Tiebelle
Calls it a tie when the two ranges overlap - no winner the data cannot back
-
Seedwick
Knows the same run seed rebuilds the same deals, so anyone can re-check your test
-
Tabitha
Keeps one row per deal in the CSV so you can draw the chart yourself
-
Addison
Knows a rule that only ADDS moves can never truly win less - reason before you run